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Published
Monday, April 28, 2008
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Ayn Rand and Alan Greenspan
by Stephen Butler
Some prankster must have pasted a Post-it note saying "kick
me" on the back of Alan Greenspan's shirt. He seems to be
getting the blame for the sub-prime mess because he failed to
consider that unbridled capitalism has a tendency to eat its seed
corn periodically.
His autobiography, "Alan Greenspan the Age of Turbulence"
starts out by discussing his early days spent in the New York
salon of Ayn Rand, the novelist and philosopher who wrote "Atlas
Shrugged" and "The Fountainhead."
Getting only that far, I set Greenspan's book aside and picked
up a dog-eared 1,200-page copy of "Atlas Shrugged."
It was just as I remembered from my first reading about 40 years
ago. Philosophically speaking, anyone working for the government
is a bumbling idiot, and industrialists working in collusion with
the government to create dysfunctional monopolies are even worse.
The heroes are charismatic people who work independently and who
manage to succeed in spite of government interference and the
palace intrigue of what Eisenhower labeled, "the military
industrial complex." In Ayn Rand's world, it was collusion
between government and railroad people.
So it stands to reason that Mr. Greenspan's early influence,
if he were still running things, would prompt him to ignore the
machinations of the mortgage market and let the invisible hand
of capitalism sort things out. According to reports, the recent
taxpayer bailout of Bear Stearns was not a unanimous decision
of the Federal Reserve Board.
The "panic," if there really was one, was only on the
part of those Wall Street companies that had borrowed short and
loaned long. Warren Buffett has been saying all along that there
is plenty of money looking for borrowers, and local banks across
the country weren't having problems. Well-run banks like Wells
Fargo, where Warren is the biggest stockholder, are doing fine.
Greenspan's general approach may prove to have been right after
all once we get beyond the panic stage. Lenders and borrowers
who lied to each other are being washed out of the system, along
with the investors who bought the hype without doing any due diligence.
We all suffer temporarily until some level of equilibrium sets
in.
What impresses me about Greenspan is the extent to which he was
able to convince politicians to do the right thing. He pointed
out huge problems that would result from the deficit back in the
first George Bush presidency and he convinced the president to
raise taxes at a time when government spending just couldn't be
cut. (The government debt at the time was $3.7 trillion. Today
it's $9 trillion and rising fast.) He kept at it with Bill Clinton
who finally was able to reduce spending and who raised taxes further
until we had almost no government debt eight years ago and historically
low interest as a result.
In fact, at the rate of our positive cash flow, a government
surplus of $3 trillion was projected by the end of the decade.
Clinton's State of the Union speech in 1998 proposed that the
money be spent to shore up Social Security.
Speaking of which, the largest single tax increase in American
history was the Reagan-era increase in the Social Security tax.
This was an increased proposed by Greenspan in 1981 when he was
asked by the president to take the lead in "dealing with
a colossal headache."
The problem stemmed from the Nixon-era cost-of-living index that
Congress voted to apply to retirees' checks. Remember those years
in the early '80's when inflation ran as highest as 18 percent
in a year? I remember magazine articles at the time that cited
the charmed life retirees were enjoying as their Social Security
income ramped up. My father, pulling his first check out of the
mailbox around that time, shouted, "I'm rich!"
Greenspan's book reads like a novel and prompts anyone to appreciate
his contribution to the financial success and stability we have
enjoyed as a country for most of his tenure as a public servant.
I'm afraid I did refer to him as a political hack a few years
ago when he rubber-stamped the current practice of cutting taxes
and running up our total debt to $9 trillion increasing
now at over a half trillion dollars per year and bringing more
government expansion than ever.
Where was that Ayn Rand influence when we needed it?
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