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Published
Monday, January 7, 2008
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Use relationship rules for money
by Stephen Butler
There's nothing like a little "grist for the mill"
to spark an intelligent conversation about money. This year, to
make it more interesting, we'll be so bold as to talk about "money
and relationships" -- the extent to which managing both money
and relationships fruitfully share some common skill sets.
First, there's the fundamental human condition that prompts us
to do what we feel like doing and then pick whatever rationale
we need to support our decision. People physically attracted to
each other will ignore, at least for a while, some personality
traits that could become first tedious and then insufferable.
With money, it's likely we all have said at some point, "How
could I have been such an idiot?" It's far better to make
wrong decisions with money than with relationships, however, because
we can always say, "It's only money." By comparison,
when did we ever hear anyone say, "Oh well, it was only a
relationship?"
The challenge with money management is that we have had some
experience of a big gain on some portion of what we invested --
or, more commonly, we've seen a big gain take place on an investment
that we thought about but couldn't bring ourselves to "pull
the trigger" on and invest.
This time around, we won't let that happen again. Statistically,
we need to find only three reasons from past experience that would
prompt us to decide in favor of a decision. If there are 10 other
reasons that would dissuade us from taking action, we just ignore
them.
The magnitude of a long-shot reward overwhelms what would be
the overall slight probability that this decision will lead to
a successful outcome.
Look at Prince Charles and Camilla. He went off to the British
Navy without making a commitment, so she went off and married
someone else. Next time out, he wasn't going to make that mistake
again. The rest is history, with its element of disaster, but
we make irrational decisions all the time when it comes to managing
what's important.
For young adults, making productive financial decisions can be
an acid test for developing decisionmaking abilities. Dollars
and cents in real time offer one of the purest expressions for
developing patience, the long view and keeping score.
The past five years of stock market results offer a pleasant
reinforcement of some of the basic rules of finance. Most of us
have seen our investment account double during this time as markets
have averaged more than 12 percent. Money at 10 percent, the historical
stock market average, will double in 7.2 years. Watching money
grow like this is intoxicating.
If a young person can start contributing as much as $500 per
month into a 401(k) plan, it will cost only about $350 in take-home
pay. Why so little? Because one-third of the $500 is money that
otherwise would have disappeared in taxes. In just five years,
earning an annual 10 percent return, a person will have accumulated
about $40,000. If five years seems like a long time, just think
about how fast those five years of college went by.
With regard to relationships, my mother always told me that I
should try to meet someone with a nice "personality."
Thirty-five years ago, I finally did, but not without some previous
misguided decisions regarding those "long-shot" possibilities.
About the same time, I started making some informed investment
decisions that have responded well to patience and a full dose
of reflection. For one of the most inspirational books on this
subject, I recommend (for the second time in a month) Jason Zweig's
"Your Money and Your Brain." Your children will love
it. And, "it's not just about money."
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